Authors of Scenario Project China 2020 (2007): "Scenarios on China’s foreign policy in the year 2020+"
The People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) rise to a world power has long been in the making, and politicians, scholars, and the general public have come to see it as an important, established factor for the development of international relations. But who, today, can say with certainty whether and how long this tendency will continue? There will certainly not be any one answer to this question. The main part of the present article sets side by side three alternative scenarios conceived to developing some ideas concerning how and under what conditions the People’s Republic’s foreign policy will take on shape in the year 2020.
by courtesy of the authors: Johannes Gabriel, Kristin Schmidt, Simone Christ, Till Dittkrist, Martin Eckhardt, Mareen Jeschonneck, Tim Kwoczek, Michael Lechner, Thomas Tesch, and Jan Vogel. The Scenario Project China 2020 was an cooperation between Prof. Dr. Hanns W. Maull, University of Trier, university students, and the Society and Technology Research Group of Daimler Forschung Berlin.
Special thanks go to STRG and Linya Int'l Shanghai for their financial support of the translation of the article. The German version of the article was published in 2008: Internationale Politik und Gesellschaft (IPG 2 /2008): Szenarioprojekt China 2020+, Chinesische Außenpolitik, pp. 90-106.